AlphaEngine NIFTY 50
INDEX · ^NSEINifty 50 · Index
- Day High
- ₹2,195.10
- Day Low
- ₹2,165.05
- Volume
- 66.17 L
- Prev Close
- ₹2,171.55
Plain English Playbook
The chart says accumulate and hold — buy near ₹2,167.55-₹2,200.15, exit at ₹2,322.40, quit at ₹2,126.80.
The stock is above its long-term average and momentum is positive — the kind of backdrop where buying and holding for months has historically worked better than quick trades.
Buy / entry zone
₹2,167.55 – ₹2,200.15
Where the plan says to step in.
Exit / take profit
₹2,322.40
Book profit here — don't get greedy.
Stop-loss / bail out
₹2,126.80
If it closes past this, the idea is wrong. Leave.
What the candlestick chart is telling us
- •Each candle is one trading day: green means the day closed higher than it opened, red means lower. Over the last three months this stock has moved between ₹1,678.26 and ₹2,195.10.
- •The two smooth lines are averages of the last 50 and 200 days. Price is above the 50-day line and above the 200-day line — the long-term trend is up.
- •Momentum (RSI 74) is very hot. Buying here is like boarding a bus that has already left the stop — a pause or dip is common.
- •The pattern engine spotted tweezer bottom (bullish, 52/100), golden cross (bullish), morning star (bullish, 66/100). On balance the recent candles lean positive.
- •Strongest candlestick evidence: morning star — Morning Star: leans towards buyers, but wait for the next candle to confirm. A score above 65 means volume, trend and nearby levels back the shape up, not just the shape itself.
- •Day-to-day swing is about ₹32.60 (1.5%), so medium risk. Keep your stop-loss wider than one normal day's move, otherwise you get shaken out by noise.
What is the chart actually telling me?
The long-term direction is upward, momentum is improving, and the engine's overall conviction score is 69 out of 100 (buy).
Is this good for a long-term hold?
Yes — the trend supports holding for months. Add in two or three instalments rather than all at once.
Should we short sell?
No. Shorting against a stable or rising trend is the most common way beginners lose money.
What about options?
If you prefer capped risk, a monthly call option around the ₹2,190.00 strike risks only the premium instead of the full share price.
When do I get out?
Two exits, decided before you enter: take profit at ₹2,322.40 (5.9% away) and cut the loss at ₹2,126.80 (-3.0% away). That is roughly 2x reward for every 1x risk.
Rule of thumb: risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio on one idea. With a stop at ₹2,126.80, you lose about ₹65.20 per share if you are wrong — so size your quantity from that number, not from how confident you feel.
Education only — AlphaEngine IN is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser.
Position Size Calculator
Risk-first sizingDecide the money you are willing to lose first, then let the maths decide the quantity — never the other way round.
Shares to buy
87
Capital deployed
₹1,89,994.95
Risk if stopped
₹4,963.35
Reward if target hit
₹12,053.85
Risk budget ₹5,000.00 ÷ ₹57.05 per-share risk = 87 shares (38.0% exposure).
Indicative Ranges — what "good" looks like
The white line is where 2026-08-13's reading sits. Green stretches are supportive, red stretches are the danger zones. You want most lines sitting in green before you commit money.
Overbought — the move is stretched. Wait for a pullback rather than chasing.
Healthy range: 45-65 for a buy. Above 70 = wait, below 30 = bounce watch.
Sellers still have the upper hand. Wait for this bar to flip positive before entering long.
Healthy range: Above zero and rising. Below zero means the wind is against you.
Price has run far ahead of its average — good stock, bad entry. Let it come back.
Healthy range: 0% to +8% above the average is the ideal buy zone.
Calm stock — a tight stop-loss works and position sizing is forgiving.
Healthy range: Under 3% a day is comfortable for beginners.
Buyers won the day — it closed near the high, which usually carries into the next session.
Healthy range: Above 60% means buyers finished in control.
You stand to make about 2.00x what you risk — an acceptable trade.
Healthy range: 1.5x or better before you press the button.
Volume & Smart Money
Big players look like they are quietly buying: volume is heavier on up days and closes are strong.
Vs avg 47.78 L. Above 1.5x = conviction; below 0.6x = thin.
+0.05 to +0.25 = buyers in control. Below -0.05 = sellers.
Rising = volume added on up days (accumulation).
Price is 2.9% above the institutional average cost.
Above 1.3x means buyers are more urgent than sellers.
Divergence = price and volume disagree. Climax = exhaustion on huge volume.
- •Money flow is positive (CMF 0.21) — buyers are closing the day in control
- •On-Balance Volume is rising — volume is being added on up days (accumulation)
- •Up-day volume is 1.44x down-day volume
- •Trading 2.9% above the 20-day VWAP — big-ticket buyers are in profit
Fibonacci & Gann Geometry
Swing ₹1,678.26 – ₹2,195.10Over the last 120 sessions the stock swung between ₹1678.26 and ₹2195.10. Fibonacci simply cuts that move into the slices where traders historically step back in. The closest level is 23.6% at ₹2073.13, about 5.4% below today's price.
Fibonacci retracements
Extension targets
Gann square of 9
Gann fan (from swing low)
Confluence zones
- ₹2,086.24 — Fib 23.6% + Gann -180° (-4.8%)
Fibonacci and Gann line up around ₹2086.24 (4.8% below price). When two independent methods point at the same number, that level tends to matter — good place to plan an entry or a stop.
Gann treats price and time as a geometry problem. From today's ₹2192.00, the next Gann step up is ₹2215.47 and the next step down is ₹2168.65 — useful as "if it breaks here, it usually runs to there" markers rather than predictions.
Trade Analyst Report · 100 words
A desk-style summary of Nifty 50 — trend, momentum, price action and the levels that would change the view.
Generated from the on-screen technicals only — education, not SEBI-registered investment advice.
Backtest — how this plan would have done
Pulling 5Y of daily history…
AlphaEngine plan
+72.52%
11.52% per year
Just buy & hold
+122.38%
17.33% per year
Worst drop (plan)
-5.44%
hold: -25.53%
Hit rate
78.6%
11W / 3L of 14
₹1,00,000 growth — plan vs buy & hold
Plan Hold
- •If you had put ₹1,00,000 into this stock 5.0 years ago and simply followed the AlphaEngine rules, you would have about ₹1,72,516 today. Doing nothing but holding the shares would have given about ₹2,22,385.
- •The rules would have made 14 round trips. 11 made money and 3 lost money — a 79% hit rate. That is normal: winners are meant to be bigger than losers, not more frequent.
- •The scariest stretch: following the rules your money was down 5.4% from its high at the worst point, versus 25.5% if you just held. Lower is easier to sit through.
- •The rules kept you invested only about 11% of the time — the rest was spent in cash avoiding chop.
- •Bottom line: over this period simply holding beat the trading rules. For a family portfolio that is a nudge towards long-term holding rather than active trading in this name.
| Entry | Exit | In | Out | Days | Why out | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | 2026-05-01 | ₹2274.35 | ₹2206.8 | 14 | stop | -2.97% |
| 2026-04-06 | 2026-04-16 | ₹2172.8 | ₹2302.08 | 10 | target | +5.95% |
| 2026-03-28 | 2026-04-05 | ₹2062.4 | ₹2185.11 | 8 | target | +5.95% |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025-12-09 | ₹1743.13 | ₹1846.85 | 10 | target | +5.95% |
| 2025-05-03 | 2025-05-13 | ₹1416.68 | ₹1500.97 | 10 | target | +5.95% |
| 2025-01-19 | 2025-01-23 | ₹1292.4 | ₹1369.3 | 4 | target | +5.95% |
| 2024-07-10 | 2024-07-27 | ₹1351.72 | ₹1311.57 | 17 | stop | -2.97% |
| 2024-06-28 | 2024-07-08 | ₹1296.95 | ₹1374.12 | 10 | target | +5.95% |
Backtests are hypothetical, exclude brokerage, slippage and taxes, and past performance does not repeat. Education only.
SMA 50
1,981.16
SMA 200
1,836.91
RSI 14
73.88
MACD 12/26/9
-4.29
Dispatcher
SimulationSimulation mode: FYERS Automate dispatch is currently simulated. No live orders are placed. Real-money execution will only be enabled after webhook verification and your explicit consent.
AI Rationale
BUY conviction at 69/100. Price is trading above its 50-day average. Long-term trend (200-day average) is supportive. Short-term average is above the long-term average. Pattern engine flagged RSI Overbought on the daily timeframe.
Order Parameters
- Entry
- ₹2,192.00
- Target
- ₹2,268.72
- Stop
- ₹2,159.12
Webhook Payload
{
"symbol": "NSE:^NSEI-EQ",
"qty": 100,
"type": 2,
"side": 1,
"productType": "INTRADAY",
"limitPrice": 0,
"stopPrice": 0,
"validity": "DAY",
"disclosedQty": 0,
"offlineOrder": false,
"stopLoss": 32.88,
"takeProfit": 76.72,
"orderTag": "alphaengine_buy"
}
One-click: trade the AI plan
Sizes the order so you risk 1% of your capital if the stop at ₹2,126.80 is hit, loads the AI target ₹2,322.40 and fires the FYERS webhook.
Plan order: 76 qty · TGT 5.95% · SL 2.97% · LONG TERM HOLD